MTG EV Calculator — Australia
MTG Adventures in the Forgotten Realms released July 2021 as the first Dungeons and Dragons crossover set. The set features beloved D and D monsters, spells, and characters including Acererak the Archlich, Ellywick Tumblestrum, and the Dungeon mechanic. Several Commander staples and iconic D and D character cards drive ongoing AU secondary market demand. Run the calculator below for a current AUD verdict.
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Expected value (EV) in TCG is calculated by multiplying the pull rate of each card rarity by the average secondary market value of cards in that rarity tier, then summing across all cards in a pack and multiplying by the number of packs you are opening.
For Australian players, we use AUD-denominated prices sourced from the Australian secondary market rather than USD TCGPlayer prices, which can differ by 15 to 30 percent after currency conversion and import costs. Our AUD values are based on recent eBay Australia sold listings for cards in each rarity tier.
| Rarity Tier | Pull Rate | Avg per Box (36 packs) | Est. Avg Value AUD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic Rare | 1 in 8 packs (12.5%) | ~4.5 | $8.00–$40.00+ |
| Rare | 1 per pack minimum | ~36 | $0.80–$5.00 |
| Classic Module Art Showcase | ~1 in 6 packs | ~5 | $5.00–$25.00+ |
| Traditional Foil | ~1 in 5 packs | ~7 | Variable |
Pull rates sourced from official Wizards of the Coast product information. AUD card values are estimates based on current Australian secondary market data and will change as the market evolves.
Adventures in the Forgotten Realms was the first Standard-legal D and D crossover set and was received enthusiastically by the large overlap between MTG and D and D communities in Australia. The set introduces the Dungeon mechanic and features iconic D and D monsters including Beholders, Mind Flayers, and Liches. Acererak the Archlich saw competitive play in Legacy and Commander. The Classic Module Art showcase treatment pays tribute to original D and D module covers with distinctive retro artwork. As a 2021 set, pricing is settled.
If you are primarily interested in specific singles rather than the experience of opening packs, buying singles on eBay AU will almost always give better value than box EV suggests, because you pay only for the cards you actually want.
EV Disclaimer: Expected value calculations are estimates only. Pull rates are based on official Wizards of the Coast data. Card values are based on recent Australian secondary market prices and change frequently. Actual results from opening packs will vary. This is not financial advice. Always verify current Amazon AU pricing before purchasing as prices fluctuate.