MTG EV Calculator — Australia
MTG Innistrad: Midnight Hunt released September 2021 and returned to the popular horror plane of Innistrad with a werewolf-focused set. The set introduced double-faced cards with day and night mechanics and contains several Commander staples and historically significant cards. At current AU pricing, run the calculator below to assess whether opening is worth it versus buying singles.
Already opened your box? Enter how many cards you actually pulled in each rarity tier to see how your box compared to expected value. Results save in your browser.
Expected value (EV) in TCG is calculated by multiplying the pull rate of each card rarity by the average secondary market value of cards in that rarity tier, then summing across all cards in a pack and multiplying by the number of packs you are opening.
For Australian players, we use AUD-denominated prices sourced from the Australian secondary market rather than USD TCGPlayer prices, which can differ by 15 to 30 percent after currency conversion and import costs. Our AUD values are based on recent eBay Australia sold listings for cards in each rarity tier.
| Rarity Tier | Pull Rate | Avg per Box (30 packs) | Est. Avg Value AUD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic Rare | 1 in 8 packs (12.5%) | ~3.75 | $8.00–$40.00+ |
| Rare | 1 per pack minimum | ~30 | $0.80–$5.00 |
| Traditional Foil | ~1 in 5 packs | ~6 | Variable |
| Showcase / Eternal Night Frame | ~1 in 6 packs | ~5 | $5.00–$30.00+ |
Pull rates sourced from official Wizards of the Coast product information. AUD card values are estimates based on current Australian secondary market data and will change as the market evolves.
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt is a beloved horror-themed set featuring werewolves, zombies, and the gothic Innistrad setting. The Eternal Night showcase treatment creates striking black and white versions of cards across all rarities. Teferi Who Slows the Sunset and Champion of the Perished are key mythics that have maintained Commander demand. As a 2021 set, pricing has settled and the secondary market is mature. The EV is lower than newer sets but the floor is also more predictable.
If you are primarily interested in specific singles rather than the experience of opening packs, buying singles on eBay AU will almost always give better value than box EV suggests, because you pay only for the cards you actually want.
EV Disclaimer: Expected value calculations are estimates only. Pull rates are based on official Wizards of the Coast data. Card values are based on recent Australian secondary market prices and change frequently. Actual results from opening packs will vary. This is not financial advice. Always verify current Amazon AU pricing before purchasing as prices fluctuate.