MTG EV Calculator — Australia

MTG Murders at Karlov Manor EV Calculator Australia

Last updated: April 2026 | Pull rates: official Wizards data | Prices: AUD

Quick Answer

MTG Murders at Karlov Manor released February 2024 with a murder mystery theme on the plane of Ravnica. The set introduced the Suspect and Disguise mechanics and contains several competitive and Commander staples that have maintained AU secondary market interest. At AU$180 for a 36-pack Play Booster box, run the calculator below for a current AUD verdict.

🧮 Expected Value Calculator

How many packs are you opening?

Number of Packs

Your Purchase Price (AUD)

Total Expected Value

—

Your Total Cost

—

EV Per Pack

—

Cost Per Pack

—

Based on this EV, the box looks worth opening. Grab it on Amazon AU now:

🛒 Buy Murders at Karlov Manor Play Booster Box — Amazon AU

EV suggests buying singles is the smarter play. Find Murders at Karlov Manor singles in the C3 eBay store:

🃏 Shop Murders at Karlov Manor Singles — C3 eBay Store

Want to track your actual pulls?

Our Booster Box ROI Calculator tracks expected vs actual across your whole box.

Get the ROI Calculator — AU$9.95

📊 Track Your Actual Pulls

▼

Already opened your box? Enter how many cards you actually pulled in each rarity tier to see how your box compared to expected value. Results save in your browser.

🌟 Mythic Rare

Expected per box: ~4.5 (1 per 8 packs)

Expected
~4.5

💎 Rare

Expected per box: ~36 (1 per pack minimum)

Expected
~36

✨ Disguise or Borderless Treatment

Expected per box: ~5

Expected
~5

⚡ Traditional Foil (any rarity)

Expected per box: ~7

Expected
~7

What did you pay for the box? (AUD)

Your estimated pull value —

Expected value for your box size —

You were above/below EV —

Profit / Loss vs purchase price —

How We Calculate EV for Australian Players

Expected value (EV) in TCG is calculated by multiplying the pull rate of each card rarity by the average secondary market value of cards in that rarity tier, then summing across all cards in a pack and multiplying by the number of packs you are opening.

For Australian players, we use AUD-denominated prices sourced from the Australian secondary market rather than USD TCGPlayer prices, which can differ by 15 to 30 percent after currency conversion and import costs. Our AUD values are based on recent eBay Australia sold listings for cards in each rarity tier.

Murders at Karlov Manor Official Pull Rates (per pack)

Rarity Tier	Pull Rate	Avg per Box (36 packs)	Est. Avg Value AUD
Mythic Rare	1 in 8 packs (12.5%)	~4.5	$10.00–$40.00+
Rare	1 per pack minimum	~36	$0.80–$5.00
Traditional Foil	~1 in 5 packs	~7	Variable
Disguise / Borderless Frame	~1 in 6 packs	~5	$5.00–$25.00+

Pull rates sourced from official Wizards of the Coast product information. AUD card values are estimates based on current Australian secondary market data and will change as the market evolves.

Is Murders at Karlov Manor Worth Buying in Australia Right Now?

Murders at Karlov Manor released February 2024 and performed strongly at launch due to the popular Ravnica setting and murder mystery theme. The set contains several Commander staples and competitive format cards. The Case enchantment cycle has driven sustained demand and the detective-themed artwork has created a strong collector following in Australia. At AU$180 per Play Booster box, it represents solid value for a 2024 release.

If you are primarily interested in specific singles rather than the experience of opening packs, buying singles on eBay AU will almost always give better value than box EV suggests, because you pay only for the cards you actually want.

MTG Murders at Karlov Manor — Play Booster Box (36 Packs)

AU$180.00

36 Play Boosters, 14 MTG cards each. Free Prime delivery. Sold and shipped by Amazon AU.

🛒 View on Amazon AU ↗

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Murders at Karlov Manor worth opening in Australia?▼

At AU$180 per box, Murders at Karlov Manor offers solid EV for a 2024 standard set. The Ravnica setting and popular Case enchantment cycle drive sustained Commander demand. Use the calculator above for a current AUD assessment.

What are the chase cards in Murders at Karlov Manor?▼

Key chase cards include Delney Streetwise Lookout, the full Case enchantment cycle, and Niv-Mizzet Guildpact in borderless treatment. Detective-themed mythics and the Clue token generators used in Commander have maintained strong AU secondary market demand.

What is the expected value of a Murders at Karlov Manor booster box?▼

Use the calculator above for a current AUD figure. EV shifts as secondary market prices settle after release. Run the calculator regularly as the market evolves.

Should I buy the Murders at Karlov Manor box or buy singles?▼

If you want specific cards, buying singles from the C3 eBay store is almost always more cost-efficient than opening packs. If you enjoy the experience of opening packs or are playing Limited, a box makes sense. Run the EV calculator and compare it to the cost of the singles you actually want.

How accurate is the EV calculation for Australian players?▼

Our EV uses AUD secondary market prices from the Australian eBay market rather than USD TCGPlayer prices converted to AUD, which makes it more accurate for Australian buyers. However, EV is always an average estimate. Your individual box results will vary significantly from the expected value.

EV Disclaimer: Expected value calculations are estimates only. Pull rates are based on official Wizards of the Coast data. Card values are based on recent Australian secondary market prices and change frequently. Actual results from opening packs will vary. This is not financial advice. Always verify current Amazon AU pricing before purchasing as prices fluctuate.