MTG EV Calculator — Australia
MTG Zendikar Rising released September 2020 and returned to the adventure plane of Zendikar. The set introduced Modal Double-Faced Cards (MDFCs) — lands that can also be spells — which immediately became format staples across multiple formats. Several of these MDFCs remain highly played in Modern, Legacy, and Commander today. Run the calculator below for a current AUD verdict.
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Expected value (EV) in TCG is calculated by multiplying the pull rate of each card rarity by the average secondary market value of cards in that rarity tier, then summing across all cards in a pack and multiplying by the number of packs you are opening.
For Australian players, we use AUD-denominated prices sourced from the Australian secondary market rather than USD TCGPlayer prices, which can differ by 15 to 30 percent after currency conversion and import costs. Our AUD values are based on recent eBay Australia sold listings for cards in each rarity tier.
| Rarity Tier | Pull Rate | Avg per Box (36 packs) | Est. Avg Value AUD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mythic Rare | 1 in 8 packs (12.5%) | ~4.5 | $8.00–$40.00+ |
| Rare | 1 per pack minimum | ~36 | $0.80–$15.00 |
| Expedition Land (Bonus Sheet) | Very rare, ~1 per case | ~0.1 | $30.00–$200.00+ |
| Traditional Foil | ~1 in 5 packs | ~7 | Variable |
Pull rates sourced from official Wizards of the Coast product information. AUD card values are estimates based on current Australian secondary market data and will change as the market evolves.
Zendikar Rising is notable for introducing Modal Double-Faced Cards, a new card type where the reverse side is a land. Cards like Agadeem the Undercrypt, Turntimber Symbiosis, and Sea Gate Restoration became immediate format staples and remain highly played today across Modern, Legacy, and Commander. The Zendikar Expeditions bonus cards (alternate art full-art lands) are extremely rare but can be worth AU$50-200+ if found. As a 2020 set, secondary market pricing is settled and predictable.
If you are primarily interested in specific singles rather than the experience of opening packs, buying singles on eBay AU will almost always give better value than box EV suggests, because you pay only for the cards you actually want.
EV Disclaimer: Expected value calculations are estimates only. Pull rates are based on official Wizards of the Coast data. Card values are based on recent Australian secondary market prices and change frequently. Actual results from opening packs will vary. This is not financial advice. Always verify current Amazon AU pricing before purchasing as prices fluctuate.